Pre-tourney Rankings
Incarnate Word
Southland
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.5#267
Expected Predictive Rating-3.7#220
Pace68.4#220
Improvement-1.4#243

Offense
Total Offense-2.4#230
First Shot+1.4#132
After Offensive Rebound-3.8#348
Layup/Dunks-2.1#273
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#187
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#49
Freethrows-0.2#185
Improvement+1.2#128

Defense
Total Defense-4.1#280
First Shot-4.3#299
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#148
Layups/Dunks-1.5#239
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#314
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#257
Freethrows+1.1#99
Improvement-2.6#305
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 18, 2015 9   @ Purdue L 61-96 2%     0 - 1 -15.0 -9.9 -0.6
  Nov 24, 2015 8   @ Oklahoma L 63-96 1%     0 - 2 -12.4 -8.0 -0.1
  Dec 07, 2015 278   @ Sacramento St. L 70-73 43%     0 - 3 -7.6 -0.5 -7.3
  Dec 09, 2015 23   @ California L 62-74 2%     0 - 4 +5.6 -0.4 +6.1
  Dec 18, 2015 209   @ St. John's W 73-51 27%     1 - 4 +21.8 +12.9 +11.6
  Dec 22, 2015 287   LIU Brooklyn L 59-66 56%     1 - 5 -15.0 -27.2 +13.1
  Dec 29, 2015 277   @ Rice W 82-76 43%     2 - 5 +1.4 -1.9 +3.0
  Jan 02, 2016 225   Sam Houston St. L 72-78 51%     2 - 6 0 - 1 -12.6 -3.0 -9.7
  Jan 09, 2016 340   Northwestern St. W 70-56 83%     3 - 6 1 - 1 -2.8 -11.2 +9.1
  Jan 11, 2016 326   @ New Orleans W 71-68 59%     4 - 6 2 - 1 -5.8 -2.3 -3.4
  Jan 16, 2016 322   @ SE Louisiana W 75-71 57%     5 - 6 3 - 1 -4.4 +2.0 -6.2
  Jan 23, 2016 316   Abilene Christian W 74-60 75%     6 - 6 4 - 1 +0.3 -3.1 +3.8
  Jan 25, 2016 334   @ McNeese St. L 76-79 OT 65%     6 - 7 4 - 2 -13.4 -11.7 -1.4
  Jan 30, 2016 333   Nicholls St. W 68-61 81%     7 - 7 5 - 2 -8.8 -1.3 -6.7
  Feb 02, 2016 177   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 70-65 39%     8 - 7 6 - 2 +1.2 -3.6 +4.8
  Feb 06, 2016 330   @ Lamar W 74-71 62%     9 - 7 7 - 2 -6.6 -3.5 -3.1
  Feb 08, 2016 333   @ Nicholls St. L 60-71 63%     9 - 8 7 - 3 -21.0 -14.9 -6.0
  Feb 12, 2016 327   Central Arkansas W 71-69 79%     10 - 8 8 - 3 -13.1 -15.6 +2.4
  Feb 15, 2016 54   @ Stephen F. Austin L 46-84 5%     10 - 9 8 - 4 -25.3 -19.6 -6.6
  Feb 20, 2016 177   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 69-90 21%     10 - 10 8 - 5 -18.9 -1.6 -17.2
  Feb 22, 2016 284   @ Houston Baptist W 97-91 44%     11 - 10 9 - 5 +1.0 +14.4 -13.7
  Feb 27, 2016 330   Lamar W 89-70 80%     12 - 10 10 - 5 +3.6 +5.2 -2.3
  Feb 29, 2016 54   Stephen F. Austin L 58-84 11%     12 - 11 10 - 6 -19.2 -10.0 -9.8
  Mar 03, 2016 316   @ Abilene Christian W 74-70 55%     13 - 11 11 - 6 -3.9 -4.4 +0.4
  Mar 05, 2016 284   Houston Baptist W 97-86 66%     14 - 11 12 - 6 +0.1 +11.1 -11.6
Projected Record 14.0 - 11.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%